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Predictive analysis of lipidome patterns in gestational diabetes mellitus risk assessment

Marija Matutinović1ORCID, Aleksandra Zeljkovic1, Jelena Vekic1, Daniela Ardalic2, Željko Mikovic2,3, Aleksandra Stefanovic1
1 Department of Medical Biochemistry, Faculty of Pharmacy, University of Belgrade, Belgrade, Serbia
2 Gynecology and Obstetrics Clinic “Narodni Front”, Belgrade, Serbia
3 Department of Gynecology and Obstetrics, Faculty of Medicine, University of Belgrade, Belgrade, Serbia
DOI: 10.20452/pamw.16953
Published online: February 13, 2025.
CCBYCC BY 4.0

In this article

Introduction

Gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) is the most common pregnancy complication, affecting up to 25% of pregnancies worldwide.1 Along with disrupted glucose regulation, GDM is characterized by dyslipidemia.2 Despite extensive research into the role of routine lipid parameters, more comprehensive research into the lipidomic milieu in GDM offers promising opportunities for deeper insights into pathogenetic mechanisms and risk assessment.

Cholesterol homeostasis is a balance between cholesterol synthesis and absorption, and can be estimated by noncholesterol sterol (NCS) quantification. Desmosterol, 7‑dehydrocholesterol, and lathosterol reflect the cholesterol synthesis efficiency, while campesterol and β-sitosterol serve as surrogate markers for cholesterol absorption.3

Sphingolipids have received increasing attention in cardiometabolic complications of pregnancy, especially GDM.4 An increase in ceramides C18 and C24 in early pregnancy was associated with a higher risk of GDM.5 Sphingosine‑1‑phosphate (S1P) promotes cell survival, boosts glucose uptake, and is implicated in insulin receptor activation. Cellular S1P‑ceramide balance plays a crucial role in maintaining cellular health, and may also be involved in metabolic regulation.6

Several studies have focused on identifying biomarkers and multimarker models for predicting GDM and adverse pregnancy outcomes.4,7,8 A lipid fingerprinting analysis revealed several lipid species associated with GDM,4 while metabolomics- and proteomics‑based models showed a significant potential for early GDM detection.7,8

This study aimed at providing a detailed characterization of the lipid species used in GDM risk assessment toward the end of the first trimester, with special emphasis on lipoprotein distribution, NCSs, and sphingolipids.

Patients and methods

Study participants

This longitudinal study was a part of a larger research project HI‑MOM (High‑density lipoprotein metabolome research to improve pregnancy outcome). It involved 2 cohorts of pregnant women who received prenatal care at the Gynecology and Obstetrics Clinic “Narodni Front” in Belgrade, Serbia, recruited at the beginning of pregnancy and followed‑up until delivery.9 The first cohort included pregnant women without a prior risk for pregnancy complications, while the second comprised women with prepregnancy risk of preeclampsia in accordance with the guidelines established by the National Institute for Health and Care Excellence.10 Routine assessment was carried out in each trimester, that is, 11–13, 20–23, and 28–32 weeks of gestation. In this study, we used only the first trimester data. Finally, 25 women with GDM and 102 women with uncomplicated pregnancies were included in the analysis. The diagnosis of GDM was made according to the criteria defined by the International Association of Diabetes and Pregnancy Study Groups.11 In the GDM group, 48% of the patients developed other pregnancy complications alongside GDM (5 cases of gestational hypertension, 6 of preeclampsia, and 3 of intrauterine growth restriction; Supplementary material, Table S1).

Detailed demographic data, medical history, data on medication use and vitamin supplementation, presence of chronic diseases before pregnancy, smoking status, alcohol intake, and family history of cardiovascular diseases and DM were collected upon recruitment. The body mass index (BMI, kg/m2) was calculated at each study point. A complete laboratory assessment, along with ultrasonographic and color Doppler examination, was performed in each trimester.

Blood drawing

Blood drawing was done after overnight fasting. Plasma and serum samples were separated, aliquoted upon centrifugation, and stored at −80 °C until analysis.

Basic lipid analysis

Serum levels of total cholesterol (TC), triglycerides (TGs), and high‑density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL‑C) were measured with routine commercial biochemical methods, on the AU480 Beckman analyzer (Beckman, Brea, California, United States). Serum levels of low‑density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL‑C) were calculated according to the Friedewald formula12 in the samples with a TG concentration below 4.5 mmol/l, while for those with a TG concentration above 4.5 mmol/l, LDL‑C concentration was determined using the AU480 Beckman analyzer, employing commercial kits (Beckman).

Advanced lipid analysis

Noncholesterol sterol analysis

The quantification of NCSs in the plasma and HDL fraction was done using our previously described high‑performance liquid chromatography / tandem mass spectrometry (HPLC‑MS/MS) method,13 on the Agilent 6420 triple quadrupole mass spectrometer equipped with an atmospheric pressure chemical ionization ion source (Agilent Technologies, Santa Clara, California, United States). We used d6‑cholesterol (Sigma‑Aldrich, St. Louis, Missouri, United States) as an internal standard.14

Sphingolipid analysis

We quantified the level of sphingosine (SPH), sphinganine (SAP), S1P, sphingomyelin (SM), ceramide C16 (CerC16:0), and ceramide C24 (CerC24:0) using our HPLC‑MS/MS technique. The quantification was performed on the Agilent 6420 triple quadrupole mass spectrometer with an electrospray ionization ion source (Agilent Technologies). We used gradient elution for chromatographic separation of sphingolipids. For internal standard, we used SPH d17, SPH‑1P d17, ceramide C17:0 (CerC17:0) from Avanti Polar Lipids (Birmingham, Alabama, United States) and sphingomyelin C17:0 (SM C17:0) from Cayman Chemical (Ann Arbor, Michigan, United States).

Distribution and size of high- and low‑density lipoprotein cholesterol subfractions

We employed a previously established polyacrylamide gradient gel electrophoresis method15 to determine the size and relative abundance of HDL and LDL subfractions. We used 3%–31% polyacrylamide gels for electrophoretic separation of HDL (HDL2b–HDL3a) and LDL (LDLI–LDLIV) subclasses with the Hoefer SE 600 Ruby electrophoresis unit (Amersham Pharmacia Biotech, Vienna, Austria).

Statistical analysis

Statistical analysis was conducted using SPSS software version 20 (SPSS Inc., Chicago, Illinois, United States) and MedCalc package (MedCalc, Ostend, Belgium). Univariable and multivariable binary logistic regression evaluated associations and predictive values of the analyzed markers with regard to GDM development, incorporating the first trimester data in the regression models. Odds ratios (ORs) with 95% CIs were calculated using the Wald method. Single and multimarker predictive models were created from different sets of demographic and lipid markers, with their discriminatory ability evaluated by the receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curves and the area under the curve (AUC). Comparisons of ROC curves to test the statistical significance of the differences between the AUC of several ROC curves was performed using the method of DeLong et al.16 Statistical significance was set at a P value below 0.05.

Ethics

The study was conducted in accordance with the World Medical Association’s Declaration of Helsinki. It was approved by the Ethics Committee of the Gynecology and Obstetrics Clinic “Narodni Front” (05006‑2020‑10738), the Ethics Committee of the Faculty of Medicine, the University of Belgrade (1322/VII‑27), and the Ethics Committee for Biomedical Research of the Faculty of Pharmacy, the University of Belgrade (1156/2). Informed consent was obtained from all participants upon recruitment. The data presented in this study are available on request from the corresponding author. The data are not publicly available due to privacy and ethics considerations.

Results

Baseline demographic data, clinical features, and basic lipid status of the participants are presented in Supplementary material, Table S1. There were no significant differences regarding age, smoking status, percentage of first‑time pregnancies, TC, HDL‑C, and LDL‑C levels between the women with GDM and those without pregnancy complications. Pregestational BMI values, gestational weight gain, as well as TG levels were significantly higher in the women with GDM (P = 0.01, P = 0.001, and P = 0.009, respectively).

First, we conducted a univariable logistic regression analysis to assess the possible associations of the distribution and size of the lipoprotein subclasses with the development of GDM (Supplementary material, Table S2). Higher prevalence of large LDLI and HDL2a subclasses demonstrated a significant negative prediction of GDM (P = 0.04 and P = 0.04, respectively). In contrast, small‑size LDLIIIA subclass positively predicted GDM development (P = 0.02).

Next, we examined the predictive potential of NCSs for GDM development (Supplementary material, Table S2). To this end, absolute plasma NCS concentrations were determined (desmosterol, 7‑dehydrocholesterol, lathosterol, campesterol, and β-sitosterol), along with NCS concentrations in HDL (desmosterolhdl, 7‑dehydrocholesterolhdl, lathosterolhdl, campesterolhdl, and β-sitosterolhdl) and cholesterol homeostasis indices (cumulative synthesis index [CSI], cumulative absorption index [CAI], and cholesterol synthesis‑to‑absorption ratio [CSI/CAI]). Low levels of 7‑dehydrocholesterol, campesterol, β-sitosterol, and CAI significantly predicted GDM development in the examined population. The level of CSI/CAI was a significant positive predictor of GDM (OR, 2.435; 95% CI, 1.066–5.561; P = 0.03). Concerning the NCS profile of HDL particles, only β-sitosterolhdl showed a significant predictive potential for GDM.

Moreover, we examined the ability of sphingolipid profile to predict GDM (Supplementary material, Table S2). The strongest negative predictor of GDM was CerC16:0 level (P <⁠0.001), meaning that the likelihood of developing GDM was significantly higher in the patients with low levels of this ceramide. On the other hand, high levels of CerC24:0 and SAP were significant predictors of GDM (P = 0.01 and P = 0.04).

When the previously known risk factors for pregnancy complications were included in the multiple logistic regression model for GDM (age, smoking status, pregestational BMI, and weight gain) the LDLI and HDL2a subclasses, desmosterol, 7‑dehydrocholesterol, β-sitosterol levels, CAI, CerC16:0, and SM levels remained independent negative predictors of GDM, while campesterol, CSI/CAI, and CerC24:0 levels did not maintain their predictive capacity (Supplementary material, Table S2).

To assess the diagnostic accuracy of the proposed models for the early prediction of GDM, ROC analysis was conducted (Table 1). First, we developed 5 single‑marker models that included individual lipid biomarkers as independent predictors of GDM (model A, B, C, D, and E; Table 1). Next, we developed multimarker models combining commonly considered risk factors for GDM (maternal age, smoking status, pregestational BMI) and different panels of the analyzed lipid biomarkers (models G, H, I, J, and K; Table 1). In this regard, we gradually added different panels combining the lipid parameters that showed significant predictive properties in the univariable and multivariable analysis. Model G included the specified demographic parameters and traditional lipid biomarkers (TC, TG) and demonstrated the lowest AUC value, as compared with the other multimarker models. By adding LDL and HDL diameter values to model G, we developed model H (demographic markers, TC, TG, LDL and HDL diameters), with marginally higher AUC value, but without significant difference (P = 0.49). Model I consisted of the demographic markers, TC, TG, CSI, and CAI, and it yielded a higher AUC value than both model G (P = 0.01) and H (P = 0.03). Next, we developed model J as a combination of the demographic factors, TC, TG, and the analyzed sphingolipid concentrations (CerC16:0, SM). This model showed better prediction ability than both model G (P = 0.02) and H (P = 0.05), while there was no significant difference in comparison with model I (P = 0.94). The highest AUC value was observed for model K, which included a panel of the demographic markers, TC, TG, LDL and HDL diameters, NCS, and sphingolipid levels (AUC, 0.967; 95% CI, 0.92–1; <⁠0.001). It showed higher AUC than models G (P = 0.001), H (P = 0.002), and I (P = 0.02), but not than model J (P = 0.12).

Table 1. Area under the curve values for single‑marker and multimarker predictive models of gestational diabetes mellitus
Model
AUC
95% CI
P value
Significance was considered at a P value below 0.05.
Abbreviations: AUC, area under the curve; BMI, body mass index; CAI, Cumulative Absorption Index; Cer C16:0, ceramide C16:0; CSI, Cumulative Synthesis Index; GDM, gestational diabetes mellitus; HDL2a, high‑density lipoprotein 2a subparticle, LDLI, low‑density lipoprotein I subparticle; NCS, noncholesterol sterol; SM, sphingomyelin; TC, total cholesterol; TG, triglyceride
Single‑marker models of GDM
Model A: LDLI, %
0.647
0.521–0.773
0.03
Model B: HDL2a, %
0.616
0.479–0.752
0.09
Model C: Cholesterol synthesis‑to‑absorption ratio
0.653
0.507–0.799
0.04
Model D: CerC16:0, µmol/l
0.73
0.595–0.864
0.001
Model E: SM, µmol/l
0.637
0.52–0.754
0.03
Multimarker models of GDM
Model G: demographic factors + basic lipid status: age, smoking status, pregestational BMI, TC, TG
0.678
0.56–0.781
0.002
Model H: demographic factors + basic lipid status + LDL/HDL diameter: age, smoking status, pregestational BMI, TC, TG
0.712
0.596–0.811
<⁠0.001
Model I: demographic factors + basic lipid status + NCS: age, smoking status, pregestational BMI, TC, TG, CSI, CAI
0.892
0.799–0.952
<⁠0.001
Model J: demographic factors + basic lipid status + sphingolipids: age, smoking status, pregestational BMI, TC, TG, Cer C16:0, SM
0.887
0.792–0.948
<⁠0.001
Model K: demographic factors + basic lipid status + LDL/HDL diameter + NCS + sphingolipids: age, smoking status, pregestational BMI, TC, TG, CSI, CAI, CerC16, SM
0.967
0.92–1
<⁠0.001

Discussion

In this study, we performed a comprehensive lipidomic analysis to gain a better insight into the lipid metabolism in GDM, and to evaluate the predictive abilities of specific lipidome patterns in GDM risk assessment.

Identifying reliable biomarkers linked to the prediction and progression of GDM could strengthen our understanding of its underlying mechanisms and offer new perspectives and targets for prevention and treatment.7

Previous research has showed marked differences in the lipid profile in women in healthy pregnancy and GDM‑complicated pregnancy.4 As opposed to conventional lipid parameters that have been extensively investigated with regard to GDM, only few studies focused on the role of cholesterol homeostasis markers in this population.17,18 NCS are sensitive indicators of cholesterol metabolism changes, which makes them attractive parameters with a potential use in the prevention, prediction, and treatment of various cardiometabolic disturbances.19

In line with these findings, our results demonstrated that cholesterol homeostasis disturbances are linked to GDM development (Supplementary material, Table S2). Our results concerning cholesterol absorption markers are consistent with previous research.17,18 Plasma concentrations of β-sitosterol and campesterol were strong negative predictors of GDM development. The negative correlation between insulin resistance and cholesterol absorption has been previously demonstrated; however, the exact mechanism behind this is not clear.17 An increase in the CSI/CAI ratio was associated with over a 2.4‑time higher risk of GDM (Table 1). However, after adjustment for common GDM risk factors, this association did not remain significant. On the other hand, CAI remained an independent negative predictor of GDM, supporting the strong negative relationship between cholesterol absorption and GDM (Table 1). Moreover, plasma concentration of β-sitosterolhdl significantly predicted GDM (Table 1). An adequate mother‑to‑fetus cholesterol transport is partly dependent on the cholesterol absorption efficiency.20 Reduced cholesterol absorption and the resulting impaired HDL maturation may lead to an insufficient cholesterol supply for the fetus in GDM. In support of this finding, the prevalence of HDL2a was negatively associated with GDM in this study, indicating an inverse relationship between large‑size HDL particles and GDM development (Supplementary material, Table S2). GDM is postulated to alter HDL composition and reduce its ability to facilitate cholesterol efflux.9 Accordingly, the prevalence of the largest and least atherogenic LDLI subclass negatively predicted, while the small‑size LDLIIIB particles positively predicted GDM in our study (Supplementary material, Table S2). This is consistent with previous reports on greater prevalence of small dense LDL subclasses in pregnancies with GDM and a positive correlation between fasting glucose level and LDLIVA and LDLIVB.19

Ceramides and S1P emerge as novel diagnostic markers and therapeutic targets implicated to have multiple roles in preeclampsia and GDM. We observed a positive predictive value of SAP and CerC24:0 concentration and a negative predictive value of CerC16:0 and SM levels for GDM development (Supplementary material, Table S2). SM species have been recognized to show protective effects in pregnancy, with lower levels observed in women with GDM. However, our results concerning the levels of CerC16:0 and CerC24:0 are contrary to the expected buildup of the short‑chain cytotoxic ceramide species (CerC16:0, CerC18:0), usually seen in GDM pregnancies, and low levels of long‑chain CerC24:0.5 A possible explanation for lower CerC16:0 content could be regarding it as a compensatory protective mechanism against its harmful effects.

Finally, we developed different predictive models to discriminate women with GDM from controls. They were single‑marker models and multimarker models using different combinations of lipid markers and established risk factors for GDM (maternal age, smoking, pregestational BMI; Table 1). Diverse marker combinations performed significantly better than individual variables. More importantly, the stepwise addition of the advanced lipid markers to the models consisting of routine lipid profile significantly improved their discriminatory potential for GDM. The best predictive performance was seen in model K that contained the most comprehensive combination of all parameter groups analyzed in this study, that is, age, smoking status, pregestational BMI, TC, TG, HDL diameter, LDL diameter, CSI, CAI, CerC16:0, and SM (Table 1).

Although dyslipidemia in patients with GDM has been reported previously,2,17,18,20 this study is the first to provide a detailed lipid analysis by combining traditional lipid markers and lipoprotein subclass distribution with sphingolipid and NCS levels. However, this work has some limitations. Firstly, the small number of patients with GDM and the lack of glycemic control levels limit its strength. Due to the observational design of the study, we were unable to elucidate all aspects of the complex relationship between lipid metabolism and GDM, hence further research is needed to delve into this matter. Finally, future studies using machine learning models could better predict the development of GDM.

Conclusions

Our results suggest that combining the established GDM risk factors with the conventional and highly specific lipid biomarkers is a promising path for improving the GDM risk assessment. Lipidomic profiling is a powerful tool in GDM research that could provide intriguing new possibilities for identifying highly specific and sensitive biomarkers for GDM. However, it is important to mention that this approach to GDM management often necessitates advanced analytical methods that are not usually accessible in routine laboratory practice.

SUPPLEMENTARY MATERIAL
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References
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