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Epidemiology of venous thromboembolism: implications for clinical practice

Peter Marschang1,2, Grigoris Gerotziafas2,3,4,5, Matija Kozak2,6, Benilde Cosmi2,7,8, Mariella Catalano2,9, Agata Stanek2,10
1 Department of Internal Medicine, Central Hospital of Bolzano, Teaching Hospital of Paracelsus Medical University, Bolzano, Italy
2 VAS‑European Independent Foundation in Angiology / Vascular Medicine, Milan, Italy
3 Sorbonne University, INSERM UMR_S_938, Saint‑Antoine Research Center, Team “Cancer Biology and Therapeutics,” Group “Cancer – Angiogenesis – Thrombosis,” University Institute of Cancerology, Paris, France
4 Thrombosis Center, Tenon – Saint Antoine University Hospital, Hôpitaux Universitaires Est Parisien, Assitance Publique Hôpitaix de Paris (AP‑HP), Paris, France
5 Center of Translational Research and Education, Department of Pathology and Laboratory Medicine, Loyola University Stritch School of Medicine, Maywood, Chicago, United States
6 University Medical Centre Ljubljana, Department for Vascular Diseases, Medical Faculty Ljubljana, Ljubljana, Slovenia
7 Angiology and Blood Coagulation Unit, Department of Medical and Surgical Sciences, University of Bologna, Bologna, Italy
8 Angiology and Blood Coagulation Unit, IRCCS Azienda Ospedaliero‑Universitaria di Bologna, Bologna, Italy
9 Inter‑University Research Center on Vascular Diseases, University of Milan‑L Sacco Hospital, Milan, Italy
10 Department of Internal Medicine, Metabolic Diseases, and Angiology, Faculty of Health Sciences in Katowice, Medical University of Silesia, Katowice, Poland
DOI: 10.20452/pamw.17105
Published online: September 1, 2025.
Key words: epidemiology, incidence, mortality, pulmonary embolism, venous thromboembolism
CCBYCC BY 4.0

In this article
Abstract

Venous thromboembolism (VTE), encompassing deep vein thrombosis (DVT) and pulmonary embolism (PE), is a common disorder with annual incidence rates of 150 (95% CI, 131–169), 90 (95% CI, 72–109) and 67 (95% CI, 54–80) per 100 000 population for VTE, DVT, and PE, respectively in Western countries. Of note, reported VTE incidences are considerably lower in East Asia. VTE incidence increases with age and is comparable between sexes, although men exhibit a higher risk of recurrence. Incidence rates of PE, but not of DVT, have been increasing in the last decades, reflecting changes in diagnostic workup and risk factors. VTE has a significant impact on mortality, and it is estimated that death from PE, which includes sudden death from undiagnosed, untreated PE, may be responsible for approximately 3% of all deaths. Nevertheless, diagnosed and treated VTE still carries a substantial risk with case fatality rates up to 10% in contemporary cohorts. Even when conservative calculations are applied, VTE death rate is approximately 26 (95% CI, 19–32) per 100 000, which makes it—at least in Europe and North America—the third most common reason of death from cardiovascular diseases and fifth from all causes. In this article, we summarize the current state of knowledge and recent data on the epidemiology of VTE with a particular focus on mortality from PE and its clinical implications.

Introduction

Venous thromboembolism (VTE) is a common and potentially preventable and treatable condition that includes deep vein thrombosis (DVT) and pulmonary embolism (PE). It is the third most common cardiovascular disease after myocardial infarction (MI) and ischemic stroke (IS), with an estimated annual incidence of approximately 150 per 100 000 individuals in the general population.1 VTE covers a wide range of severity, from isolated distal DVT, which is usually treated for several weeks only, to iliofemoral thrombosis and high‑risk PE that may require invasive treatment approaches.2,3 The burden of VTE is particularly significant because of its recurrent nature, potential for sudden death, and long‑term complications, such as post‑thrombotic syndrome (PTS) and chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension (CTEPH).4 Despite these clear epidemiological data, the impact of VTE on cardiovascular and total mortality is often greatly underestimated. For example, the Global Burden of Disease Study does not list VTE or PE as a cause of death.5 Likewise, public awareness regarding the potential danger of VTE is considerably lower than that of MI or IS.6 In this article, we summarize the current state of knowledge and recent data on the epidemiology of VTE, including age- and sex‑specific differences, with a particular focus on mortality. We also discuss the clinical consequences and implications of these epidemiological data.

Incidence rates including age- and sex‑related aspects

VTE can manifest as isolated DVT, DVT with concomitant PE, or PE without diagnosed DVT. Table 1 lists the incidence for DVT, PE, and VTE in studies almost exclusively from high‑income countries, spanning from 1980 until 2025.7-47 In Europe and North America, VTE is a common disease with annual incidence rates of 150 (95% CI, 131–169), 90 (95% CI, 72–109), and 67 (95% CI, 54–80) per 100 000 population for VTE, DVT, and PE, respectively. It is well known that the incidence of VTE increases with age, with rates starting from less than 5 per 100 000 in children, and reaching over 500 per 100 000 in individuals aged 80 years and older (Figure 1).11,18,36 It has been reported that VTE may be more frequent in women, probably due to the effects of estrogens on the coagulation cascade.17,41 However, this was not consistently found in all studies (Table 1).22 When the incidence rates are standardized for age, no clear difference between men and women can be found (Figure 1).33 Importantly, the risk of recurrent VTE after the first episode of VTE without an identified major trigger is more than 3 times higher in men than in women.48

Table 1. Annual incidence of deep vein thrombosis, pulmonary embolism, and venous thromboembolism in different countriesa
Country
DVT
PE
VTE
Reference
Data are presented as number of cases per 100 000/year.
a East Asian countries are listed separately due to comparably low incidence.
b France, Germany, Italy, Spain, Sweden, and United Kingdom
c Means and 95% CIs were calculated without East Asian countries and territories.
Abbreviations: DVT, deep vein thrombosis; M, men; NR, not reported; PE, pulmonary embolism; VTE, venous thromboembolism; W, women
Sweden
85 M; 68 W
NR
NR
Kierkegaard et al7
United States
48
23
107
Anderson et al9
Sweden
155 M; 162 W
NR
NR
Nordstrom et al10
United States
48
69
117
Silverstein et al11
France
124
60
183
Oger et al12
United States
117
45
161
Cushman et al13
United States
104
36
130
Stein et al14
Europeb
148
95
NR
Cohen et al16
United Kingdom
40
34
75
Huerta et al17
Norway
93
50
143
Naess et al18
Australia
52
31
83
Ho et al19
Denmark
NR
NR
269
Holst et al20
Italy
NR
19
NR
Moretti et al21
Denmark
65
51
115
Severinsen et al22
United States
NR
112
NR
Wiener et al25
United States
152
121
239
Yusuf et al26
Canada
78
45
122
Tagalakis et al27
Australia
NR
53
NR
Shiraev et al28
Argentina
130
64
165
Vazquez et al29
Norway
NR
NR
148
Hald et al30
Spain
33
De Miguel‑Diez et al31
United States
68
65
133
Huang et al32
Italy
NR
40 M; 56 W
NR
Dentali et al33
France
NR
110
157
Delluc et al34
Canada
100
38
138
Alotaibi et al35
United States
47
62
123
Heit et al36
Norway
88
113
201
Arshad et al37
Sweden
NR
76
193
Wändell et al38
Denmark
70
81
151
Münster et al39
Canada
NR
NR
129
Payne et al40
Denmark
NR
NR
117 M; 128 W
Arnesen et al41
United Kingdom
NR
NR
183
Conrad et al42
France
25
91
116
Gabet et al44
Switzerland
NR
119
NR
Wolf et al45
Austria
NR
73
NR
Leinweber et al47
Mean (95% CI)c
90 (72–109)
67 (54–80)
150 (131–169)
East Asian countries and territories
Hongkong
NR
NR
8
Woo et al8
Taiwan
NR
NR
16
Lee et al23
Korea
5
7
14
Jang et al24
China
NR
NR
48
Hu et al43
China
NR
14
NR
Zhen et al46
Mean (95% CI) mortality from major cardiovascular diseases (A) and from all causes (the 10 most frequent; B). Based on and the Global Burden of Disease study (year 2019, to exclude any influence of the COVID-19 pandemic)Stroke in panel B comprises both ischemic stroke (see panel A) and hemorrhagic stroke.Abbreviations: CKD, chronic kidney disease; COPD, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; HD, heart disease; RI, respiratory infection; others, see Table 1
Figure 1 Mean (SD) annual incidence of deep venous thrombosis (A), pulmonary embolism (B), and venous thromboembolism (C) per 100 000 in men and women according to age group18,36

Global burden

Most of the data on the incidence of VTE come from high‑income countries, and the burden in low- and middle‑income countries is likely underreported due to limited diagnostic capabilities. Notably, considerably lower incidence rates of VTE have consistently been reported from East Asia in comparison with the European and North American countries (Table 1).

Recently, however, incidence rates appear to increase also in Asia.43 In large studies from the United States, the incidence of VTE was higher in African Americans than white people, and the lowest in individuals of Asian or Pacific Islander descent.14,49,50

Risk factors for venous thromboembolism

The occurrence of VTE is influenced by a variety of risk factors, both acquired and inherited. The acquired risk factors include surgery, trauma, cancer, hospitalization, immobilization, pregnancy, and the use of hormonal therapy. Inherited traits of thrombophilia, such as factor V Leiden or the G20210A prothrombin gene mutation, also contribute to the frequency of VTE (Table 2).51 The risk factors for VTE can be classified according to their duration into permanent and temporary, and according to their mode of action into provoking and not provoking.52 In practical terms, their predictive value for VTE is of interest. Table 2 lists common risk factors according to their odds ratio.4,53 Recently, is has been acknowledged that the risk factors for VTE may partly overlap with risk factors for arterial thrombosis.54 A considerable number of cases are observed during or shortly after hospitalization, making VTE a partially preventable disorder.

Table 2. Risk factors for venous thromboembolism (modified from4,53)
Strong risk factors (OR >10)
Moderate risk factors (OR, 2–9)
Weak risk factors (OR <⁠2)
Abbreviations: OR, odds ratio
Fracture of lower limb
Arthroscopic knee surgery
Arterial hypertension
Hospitalization for heart failure
Autoimmune disease
Bed rest >3 days
Hip or knee replacement
Blood transfusion
Diabetes
Major surgery
Indwelling venous catheters and leads
Immobility due to sitting (eg, prolonged car or air travel)
Major trauma
Chemotherapy
Laparoscopic surgery
Myocardial infarction
Erythropoiesis‑stimulating agents
Obesity
Previous venous thromboembolism
Hormone replacement therapy
Strenuous exercise
Spinal cord injury
Infection
Varicose veins
Inflammatory bowel disease
In vitro fertilization
Malignancy
Oral contraceptive use
Stroke with paralysis
Pregnancy
Puerperium
Superficial vein thrombosis
Thrombophilia

Temporal trends and emerging risk factors for venous thromboembolism

While the incidence of DVT has remained relatively stable over the past 2 decades, the incidence of PE has increased. This trend is largely attributed to the broader availability and use of computed tomography pulmonary angiography, enabling the detection of subsegmental PE, which often has unclear clinical significance (Table 1).32,55 This phenomenon may also be linked to suboptimal adherence to evidence‑based diagnostic pathways outlined in current guidelines.56,57

Reproductive and hormonal risk factors

The use of estrogen‑containing oral contraceptives, particularly third‑generation formulations, is an important risk factor for VTE in young women. These agents are widely used in developed countries, and their association with elevated thrombotic risk, especially in those with inherited thrombophilia, continues to be clinically relevant. A German hospital‑based study58 carried out between 2005 and 2014 demonstrated a disproportionate rise in PE incidence among young women, which has been attributed to the use of oral contraceptives. Pregnancy continues to be a well‑established risk factor for VTE. Of note, the increasing maternal age, especially in Europe, has introduced new challenges. Older pregnant women, often receiving thromboprophylaxis, still show an elevated VTE risk.59 A Swedish registry study covering the years from 1987 to 2019 revealed an upward trend in pregnancy‑associated PE, further underscoring the need for targeted risk assessment and prevention.60

Surgery-, trauma-, and hospitalization‑associated venous thromboembolism

Major orthopedic procedures, such as total hip or knee arthroplasty and hip fracture repair, carry a high thrombotic risk, and routine prophylaxis has demonstrated efficacy in reducing VTE‑related events.61 This is also true for a large proportion of nonorthopedic surgical interventions, where the risk of thromboembolism should be evaluated on an individual basis using validated risk scores.62 Trauma patients, especially those with pelvic fractures, spinal cord injuries, or prolonged immobilization, also benefit significantly from early pharmacological and mechanical prophylaxis.63 Despite advancements in high‑resource settings, especially low- and middle‑income countries continue to experience inconsistent implementation of VTE prophylaxis guidelines. A multinational study by Cohen et al64 found that only 58% of surgical and 40% of medical patients at risk received appropriate prophylaxis according to evidence‑based guidelines.

Cancer‑associated thrombosis

VTE in cancer patients, also known as cancer‑associated thrombosis (CAT), shows rising numbers and affects up to 20% of all cancer patients. This is particularly concerning, since CAT confers a worse prognosis and is the second most frequent cause of death in these patients after cancer itself. The increase in CAT is primarily due to an increase in PE, which may be partly due to an aging patient population and new targeted therapies with an increased risk for VTE.65 As in other clinical scenarios, the adequate use of primary prevention is crucial to reduce the risk of VTE in this particularly vulnerable patient group.66 The increasing use of indwelling venous catheters, including central venous ports for chemotherapy and long‑term antibiotics, is a growing contributor to DVT. It is estimated that such devices are responsible for up to 10% of DVT cases. Vigilant monitoring and catheter care protocols are essential to mitigate this risk.67

Obesity and the impact of the obesity pandemic

The global obesity epidemic plays a significant role in the rising VTE burden. Obesity has been identified as an established independent risk factor for both DVT and PE.68,69 Large‑scale epidemiological data demonstrate a dose‑dependent association between body mass index and VTE risk, with obese individuals exhibiting a 2.5‑fold higher risk than those with normal weight, particularly in younger patients and women using estrogen‑containing contraceptives.69 Antiobesity interventions—including structured lifestyle modification and bariatric surgery—have been associated with reductions in VTE risk. While bariatric surgery transiently increases thrombotic risk, long‑term follow‑up studies consistently show significant reductions in VTE incidence and cardiovascular morbidity.70 Likewise, the available short‑time data on pharmacological therapies inducing sustained weight loss, such as glucagon‑like peptide‑1 receptor agonists, have demonstrated an increased risk for VTE.71 It remains to be clarified whether long‑term treatment with these agents may contribute to VTE risk mitigation.

Pulmonary embolism as an important cause of death

Severe PE can lead to right heart failure due to acute pressure overload, and is a leading cause of death.4 However, since approximately 90% of fatal PE cases appear to be sudden deaths or follow undiagnosed and untreated PE, the exact number of PE‑related fatalities is difficult to determine.16,72 Valuable data come from post mortem studies, especially in countries with high autopsy rates.73-77 Additional evidence is available from cohort studies, national databases, and estimates from population‑based studies.6,16,18,21,25,27,28,31,33,35,43-47,78-82 Based on the numbers shown in Table 3, the mean annual number of deaths from VTE per 100 000 equals 26 (95% CI, 19–32), and the mean percentage of PE deaths per all deaths is about 3.1% (95% CI, 1.2%–5.1%).

Table 3. Mortality from venous thromboembolism and 30‑day (except where indicated otherwise) case fatality rate of pulmonary embolism
Data
VTE deaths / 100 000
% of all deaths
PE case fatality rate (30 d), %
Reference
a In‑hospital mortality
b Mortality after introduction of computed tomography pulmonary angiography
Abbreviations: see Table 1
Post mortem studies
United Kingdom
37
10
NR
Sandler et al73
Sweden
77
7.5
NR
Nordström et al74
United States
9.4
1.3
NR
Horlander et al75
Brazil
NR
2.5
NR
Carvalho Bricola et al76
Austria
NR
6.5
NR
Konschake et al77
Data from cohort studies and national databases
Norway
NR
NR
9.7
Naess et al18
Austria
12.8
1.3
NR
Hoffmann et al78
NR
NR
4.2
Leinweber et al47
Netherlands
2.5
0.3
NR
Hoffmann et al78
Italy
NR
NR
10.9a
Moretti et al21
United States
11.9b
1.5
7.8
Wiener et al25
Canada
NR
NR
10.6
Tagalakis et al27
NR
NR
3.9
Alotaibi et al35
Spain
NR
NR
8.3
De Miguel‑Diez et al31
5.1 M; 4.4 W
0.6
NR
Cayuela et al79
Italy
NR
NR
10.1
Dentali et al33
China
NR
NR
2.1a
Hu et al43
France
6
0.7
7.5
Gabet et al44
Switzerland
13
2.3
7.9
Wolf et al45
Estimates from population‑based studies
Europe
119
10
NR
Cohen et al16
United States
33
4
NR
Galson et al80
100
12
NR
Raskob et al81
19–32
2.2–3.6
NR
Wendelboe et al6
17–29
2.2–3.6
NR
Glazier et al82

Even the calculated mean case fatality rate is relatively high (8.2%; 95% CI, 6.6%–9.8%), and in the range of other major cardiovascular diseases, such as MI (8.9%) and IS (8.7%).67,83 The seeming decrease in mortality from PE over time may be due to the decreasing autopsy rate in most countries.84 Interestingly, an autopsy study carried out in 1987 in Sweden with an autopsy rate of 79%74 and an analysis of death certificates of body donors in an Austrian anatomical department from 201477 yielded similar results, arguing against a decreasing trend in mortality from PE (Table 3). However, as can be seen in Table 3, the case fatality rate of diagnosed and treated VTE appears to decrease over time, reflecting advances in the management of the disease, such as improved diagnostic workup and advanced therapies, including catheter‑directed thrombolysis and catheter‑based mechanical thrombus removal.3 As an additional factor for these epidemiologic changes, overdiagnosis of PE (segmental and subsegmental occlusion) by improved imaging technologies has been discussed.25 The wide variation in mortality numbers may be partly explained by inaccuracies in assigning the underlying cause of death and / or erroneous coding of the hospital records.78 Moreover, due to current low autopsy rates in nearly every country, there is a tendency to considerably underdiagnose PE as a cause of death.72 Of note, cancer patients have a particularly high risk of dying from PE.85 In the early phase of the COVID‑19 pandemic, a high number of fatal PE cases was described in autopsy studies.86 The 30‑day mortality for PE can be estimated by combining clinical, imaging, and laboratory parameters, and it ranges from low‑risk (30‑day mortality <⁠1%) to high‑risk PE (30‑day mortality >15%; Table 4).4 Even after the acute phase, long‑term mortality remains elevated, particularly in patients with CAT and recurrent events. Importantly, VTE recurrence itself contributes to the morbidity and mortality burden, with recurrence rates approaching 30% at 10 years without extended anticoagulation.87

Table 4. Risk stratification of pulmonary embolism (modified from4)
30‑day mortality risk
Hemodynamic instability
PESI class III–V or sPESI ≥1
RV dysfunction (TTE, CTPA)
Elevated cardiac troponin
Percentage
Patients with signs of RV dysfunction on TTE (or CTPA) or with elevated cardiac troponin and a calculated PESI class I or II or a sPESI of 0 should be classified as intermediate risk.
Abbreviations: CTPA, computed tomography pulmonary angiography; PESI, pulmonary embolism severity index; RV, right ventricle; sPESI, simplified pulmonary embolism severity index; TTE, transthoracic echocardiography
High (>15%)
+
+
+
+
<⁠5
Intermediate (3%–15%)
60
Intermediate‑high
+
+
+
Intermediate‑low
+
1 (or none) positive
Low (<⁠1%)
35

Clinical implications

To reduce the burden and especially the mortality from VTE, adequate diagnosis and early initiation of anticoagulant treatment are crucial. However, in many countries, the diagnosis of acute PE remains suboptimal due to restricted availability of continuous imaging services, insufficient access to multidisciplinary consultations, inadequate protocols for transferring patients to higher‑tier referral centers, and limited physician awareness of established risk stratification principles. These deficiencies may compromise the comprehensiveness of diagnostic evaluation, thereby contributing to both under- and overdiagnosis. Improving access to diagnostic tools, standardizing referral pathways (eg, via PE response teams), and strengthening medical education are necessary steps to address these deficiencies.88 Effective risk stratification tools, such as the Pulmonary Embolism Severity Index, help clinicians in identifying patients at a higher risk of mortality and complications.4,89 Appropriate anticoagulant therapy is the cornerstone of VTE treatment, and has significantly improved survival. However, the risk of bleeding remains an important limitation, particularly in elderly patients and in the presence of comorbidities.

Given its preventable nature, hospital‑associated VTE is a major target for health interventions. Thromboprophylaxis in high‑risk patients—including those undergoing surgery or experiencing prolonged immobilization—has been shown to significantly reduce VTE incidence. Despite guidelines, implementation remains inconsistent, and there is an urgent need for improved adherence and constant re‑evaluation of prophylactic strategies.90

Survivors of VTE events often face substantial morbidity. PTS occurs in up to 50% of patients with proximal DVT, leading to chronic leg pain, swelling, and ulceration.91 CTEPH, a rare but severe complication, is expected to develop in approximately 2.4% of patients with acute PE, and it contributes to long‑term functional decline and increased mortality.92 Both PTS and CETPH have distinct risk factors in patients with VTE that are summarized in Table 5.92-94 A recent meta‑analysis reported similar rates of PTS across different anticoagulation regimens (vitamin K antagonists [VKAs], direct oral anticoagulants [DOACs], low‑molecular‑weight heparin) with a possible lower rate of severe PTS in patients treated with a DOAC than a VKA.95

Table 5. Risk factors for post‑thrombotic syndrome and chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension (modified from92-94)
Post‑thrombotic syndrome
Chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension
Abbreviations: INR, international normalized ratio; others, see Table 1
Proximal DVT
(Sub-)massive PE
Age
Recurrent PE
Obesity
Unprovoked PE
Previous ipsilateral DVT
Splenectomy
Pre‑existing primary venous insufficiency
Ventriculoatrial shunt
Inadequate INR control during the first 3 months
Chronic inflammatory diseases
Persistent symptoms after 1 month
Malignancy
Antiphospholipid syndrome
Hypothyroidism

The epidemiological data summarized in this article have direct clinical implications. Important risk factors, such as the age of an individual patient should be integrated in the diagnostic workup. The higher risk for recurrent VTE in men has profoundly influenced clinical prediction scores for discontinuing anticoagulation.96,97

Conclusions

VTE is a leading cause of cardiovascular mortality, ranking—at least in Europe and North America—at the third place for cardiovascular diseases and at the fifth place for death from all causes (Figure 2). Greater emphasis on risk assessment, adherence to prophylaxis guidelines, early diagnosis, and effective long‑term management are essential to reduce the burden of the disease. Improved surveillance and public health initiatives, such as the World Thrombosis Day, which has been organized every year since 2014, are needed to address these issues and to improve awareness of VTE.81,98 Nevertheless, mortality from PE is greatly underestimated, and has not been included in the Global Burden of Disease Study.5 VTE should urgently be recognized as a distinct entity, similarly to other main vascular diseases, and not summarized under “other cardiovascular diseases”, since risk factors and treatment modalities differ significantly from those applying to arterial diseases.

Figure 2 Mean (95% CI) mortality from major cardiovascular diseases (A) and from all causes (the 10 most frequent; B). Based on6 and the Global Burden of Disease study (year 2019, to exclude any influence of the COVID‑19 pandemic)99Stroke in panel B comprises both ischemic stroke (see panel A) and hemorrhagic stroke.Abbreviations: CKD, chronic kidney disease; COPD, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; HD, heart disease; RI, respiratory infection; others, see Table 1
Acknowledgments: None.
Funding: None.
Conflict of interests: None declared.
AI statement: Artificial intelligence was not used in the preparation of this manuscript.
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