Vaccination against SARS‑CoV‑2 remains the cornerstone of public health strategies to mitigate COVID‑19 morbidity and mortality.1,2 Yet, the magnitude, kinetics, and durability of vaccine‑induced immune responses vary considerably across platforms and populations. The titer of neutralizing and binding immunoglobulin (Ig) G antibodies directed against the spike (S) protein correlates with the extent of protection from infection and symptomatic disease, and its decline over time is implicated in waning vaccine effectiveness observed in real‑world settings.3 For instance, in an mRNA‑1273 vaccine trial, antibodies persisted through 6 months postdose 2 across multiple serologic assays, though titers declined substantially over that period.4 Meta‑analyses of vaccine effectiveness estimate significant waning of protection against symptomatic and Omicron infection over several months postvaccination.5
Adenoviral vector vaccines, such as Ad26.COV2.S, produce more modest peak antibody titers than mRNA vaccines but may show slower decay kinetics; mechanistic modeling suggests detectable antibody responses may persist up to 24 months, albeit decreasing over time.6 Observational studies also report seroreversion in small proportions of patients within 8–9 months of vaccination, with the risk increasing with age and comorbidity burden.7
The principal aim of this study was to present comparative data on IgG neutralizing antibody trajectories across vaccine types, highlighting differences in peak titers, durability, and the restoration of humoral immunity following booster doses.
The local Institutional Ethics Committee approved this prospective, observational study (1/2021), and all participants provided written informed consent prior to enrolment.
Two cohorts of adult participants were enrolled. The first cohort (general population; n = 838) consisted of community volunteers who completed the whole primary vaccination series and were followed longitudinally, including after booster dose administration. The second cohort (health care workers; n = 462) comprised employees of the National Medical Institute who received a booster dose at the study entry; for this cohort, blood sampling and immunological analyses were performed starting from the time of booster vaccination onward, as no preprimary series samples were available.
Vaccination followed national recommendations. Mostly, 3 COVID‑19 vaccines authorized in Poland were used: BNT162b2 (Pfizer‑BioNTech) and mRNA‑1273 (Moderna), both nucleoside‑modified mRNA vaccines encoding the SARS‑CoV‑2 S protein, administered as 2 intramuscular doses 21 and 28 days apart, respectively; and Ad26.COV2‑S (Johnson & Johnson [J&J]), a nonreplicating adenoviral vector vaccine given as a single intramuscular dose. Booster doses were administered using mRNA vaccines, Ad26.COV2‑S, as well as ChAdO × 1 nCoV‑19 (AstraZeneca), a nonreplicating chimpanzee adenoviral vector vaccine. Irrespective of the initial type of vaccine, most patients received the Pfizer‑BioNTech vaccine as a booster.
Blood samples were collected at predefined time points. In the general population cohort, sampling occurred at baseline (predose 1; sampling 1), before dose 2 (where applicable; sampling 2), and at 6, 12, and 18 months after completion of the primary schedule (samplings 3–5). In the health care worker cohort, sampling began immediately prior to the booster dose (sampling 1) and continued at 3, 6, and 12 months postbooster (samplings 2–4). Humoral immunity was assessed by measuring the titers of SARS‑CoV‑2 IgG and IgM neutralizing antibodies. SARS‑CoV‑2–specific IgG and IgM antibody concentrations were measured using a quantitative chemiluminescent immunoassay performed on serum samples according to the manufacturer’s protocol. Results were expressed in binding antibody units (BAU/ml). Cellular immunity was evaluated in a predefined subgroup from both cohorts. Peripheral blood mononuclear cells were isolated and analyzed by flow cytometry to quantify major immune cell subsets, including T (CD3+) and B lymphocytes, natural killer (NK) cells, dendritic cells (DCs; classical and plasmacytoid), monocytes, and macrophages. B‑cell and T‑cell levels served as indicators of humoral memory and cellular activation, respectively, while innate subsets were assessed to characterize broader vaccine‑related immune effects.
The primary end point was the change in SARS‑CoV‑2 IgG antibody levels following vaccination across the different vaccine types. Secondary end points included the kinetics of IgM antibodies and the evaluation of cellular immune responses at predefined follow‑up time points.
All statistical analyses were performed using R software, version 4.2.2 (R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna, Austria). Data distribution was assessed with the Shapiro–Wilk test. Given the typically right‑skewed distribution of immunological variables and the presence of unequal variances between the groups, normality and homoscedasticity assumptions were carefully evaluated prior to comparative analyses. Continuous variables are presented as mean (SD) or median (interquartile range), and categorical variables as counts and percentages. Humoral responses (IgG and IgM) between vaccine types at each time point were compared using the Welch 1‑way analysis of variance with Welch t tests for post hoc pairwise comparisons and Holm–Bonferroni correction. Effect size was expressed using the Hedges g statistic as an unbiased standardized measure of mean differences, appropriate for groups of unequal size. Changes over time within vaccine groups were presented descriptively due to the observational design and unequal sample sizes. Cellular immunity analyses were limited to descriptive statistics, as varying sample sizes and the absence of repeated measures for all participants precluded formal longitudinal testing. A 2‑tailed P value below 0.05 was considered significant.
The primary cohort included 838 individuals from the general population (mean age, 38.8 [13.7] years; 51.8% women [n = 434]). Vaccination was performed with the Pfizer‑BioNTech vaccine in 59.7% of the cohort (n = 500), Moderna in 15.5% (n = 130), and J&J in 24.6% (n = 206). The second cohort comprised 462 health care professionals (mean age, 45.8 [12.6] years; 60.9% women [n = 282]). Most of them received the Pfizer‑BioNTech vaccine (87.5%; n = 405), with smaller proportions receiving Moderna (3.2%; n = 15), J&J (1.5%; n = 7), or AstraZeneca (7.8%; n = 36) vaccines.
In the general population cohort, 838 participants provided baseline samples for IgG and IgM level assessment. This cohort exhibited a strong humoral response after the primary vaccination series, with antibody levels waning over time and their partial restoration associated with booster administration (Table 1).
Parameter | IgG | IgM | |||
General population | |||||
Antibody titers are presented as median (interquartile range).
Abbreviations: Ig, immunoglobulin; J&J, Johnson & Johnson | |||||
Sampling 1 (baseline) | Sample size, n | 838 | 838 | ||
Antibody titer, BAU/ml | 34.7 (4.8–165) | 0.3 (0.1–0.8) | |||
Sampling 2 (1 month) | Sample size, n | 593 | 593 | ||
Antibody titer, BAU/ml | 4920 (766–10 300) | 0.8 (0.4–1.6) | |||
Sampling 3 (6 months) | Sample size, n | 175 | 175 | ||
Antibody titer, BAU/ml | 1570 (933–4315) | 0.3 (0.2–0.6) | |||
Sampling 4 (12 months) | Sample size, n | 59 | 59 | ||
Antibody titer, BAU/ml | 2440 (1450–5775) | 0.23 (0.15–0.62) | |||
Sampling 5 (18 months) | Sample size, n | 22 | 22 | ||
Antibody titer, BAU/ml | 2130 (1385–4282.5) | 0.24 (0.2–0.34) | |||
Health care professionals | |||||
Sampling 1 (baseline) | Sample size, n | 462 | 462 | ||
Antibody titer, BAU/ml | 393 (191–961.5) | 0.2 (0.1–0.3) | |||
Sampling 2 (3 months) | Sample size, n | 333 | 333 | ||
Antibody titer, BAU/ml | 2990 (1770–6190) | 0.2 (0.1–0.3) | |||
Sampling 3 (6 months) | Sample size, n | 197 | 197 | ||
Antibody titer, BAU/ml | 4590 (1840–8430) | 0.16 (0.11–0.27) | |||
Sampling 4 (12 months) | Sample size, n | 133 | 133 | ||
Antibody titer, BAU/ml | 3560 (1470–7060) | 0.16 (0.09–0.23) | |||
General population – IgG response by vaccine type | |||||
Parameter | Pfizer‑BioNTech | Moderna | J&J | ||
Sampling 1 (baseline) | Sample size, n | 500 | 130 | 206 | |
Antibody titer, BAU/ml | 38 (6–174) | 55 (9–199) | 23 (6–77) | ||
Sampling 2 (1 month) | Sample size, n | 465 | 119 | 9 | |
Antibody titer, BAU/ml | 4400 (780–10 050) | 6000 (1170–13 700) | 1820 (580–3270) | ||
Sampling 3 (6 months) | Sample size, n | 122 | 49 | 4 | |
Antibody titer, BAU/ml | 2100 (720–4460) | 2000 (700–4240) | 1550 (910–2380) | ||
Sampling 4 (12 months) | Sample size, n | 38 | 21 | 0 | |
Antibody titer, BAU/ml | 2700 (940–5340) | 2150 (1080–3420) | – | ||
Sampling 5 (18 months) | Sample size, n | 14 | 8 | 0 | |
Antibody titer, BAU/ml | 2200 (1150–3770) | 1800 (1100–2570) | – | ||
When stratified by vaccine type, differences in humoral responses were observed (Table 1). At baseline, IgG levels were low across the mRNA vaccine recipients, while the recipients of the J&J vaccine showed considerably lower values (Welch ANOVA, P <0.001; Moderna vs J&J, P <0.001; g = −0.51; Pfizer‑BioNTech vs J&J, P <0.001; g = 0.22). After completion of the primary series (sampling 2), IgG titers diverged markedly (P <0.001): the Moderna vaccine was associated with the highest levels (mean, 10 033 [9992] BAU/ml), exceeding the Pfizer‑BioNTech (mean, 6872 [8695] BAU/ml; P = 0.004; g = −0.35) and J&J vaccines (mean, 2805 [3124] BAU/ml; P <0.001; g = −0.74). The Pfizer‑BioNTech vaccine also produced higher titers than the J&J vaccine (P = 0.004; g = 0.47). At the third sampling, which partly reflected booster effects, intervaccine differences were no longer significant (P = 0.18) despite similar trends (Pfizer‑BioNTech, 3877 BAU/ml; Moderna, 3625 BAU/ml; J&J, 2108 BAU/ml). At later time points (samplings 4–5), only data for the mRNA vaccines were available for comparison; IgG levels declined with no significant difference between Pfizer‑BioNTech and Moderna (P = 0.12; g = 0.35–0.42). No differences in IgM levels were reported (data not shown).
Among the health care workers, the first sampling (n = 462) occurred approximately 9 months after primary vaccination, just before the booster dose. IgG levels rose markedly after boosting, then gradually waned, while IgM levels remained low and showed minimal fluctuations. This indicates residual immunity at 9 months, a strong booster response, and subsequent decline over time (Table 1).
A preliminary comparison examined whether the interval between the primary series and the booster influenced humoral responses. In the general population, mean IgG levels were 3766 BAU/ml at approximately 6 months, rose to 5313 BAU/ml postbooster, and declined to 3299 BAU/ml thereafter. In the health care workers, the first measurement at approximately 9 months after primary vaccination showed lower IgG values than in the general population (1340 BAU/ml), followed by an increase to 5585 BAU/ml postbooster, a peak of 7891 BAU/ml, and a subsequent decline to 6014 BAU/ml. These data suggest more pronounced waning with a longer interval before boosting in the health care workers, but also a more substantial booster‑induced rise, likely reflecting occupational exposure and a larger immunological gap prior to boosting.
Analysis of cellular immunity demonstrated modest and mostly transient changes across immune cell subsets following SARS‑CoV‑2 vaccination. In the general population cohort, the proportion of DCs remained stable after the first dose (4.5% at baseline vs 4.6% predose 2), decreased by approximately 30% at 5–6 months (3.3%), and partially recovered at 12 months (3.9%). Macrophages showed a gradual decline from 2.2% at baseline to 1.7% postdose 2 (reduction by about 30%) and 1% at 12 months (further decrease by about 20%), while the proportion of classical monocytes remained stable (28.3% at baseline vs 27.5% postdose 1 and 29.4% at 12 months). In contrast, T lymphocytes demonstrated a more dynamic pattern, with levels rising from 36.9% at baseline to 45.5% postdose 2 (increase by about 30%) and peaking at 6 months (45.5%, with a subsequent decline to 41% at 12 months). NK cell levels remained unchanged after primary vaccination (11.3% at baseline vs 11.5% postdose 2) but declined markedly at 12 months (4.5%), indicating limited long‑term NK involvement in vaccine‑induced immunity.
Among the health care workers, prior to booster administration, baseline values were comparable for DCs (4.2%), lower for macrophages (1.6%), and slightly higher for T cells (42.9%) relative to the general population (arm I). After the booster dose, the proportion of DCs initially declined (3.3%), then increased at 3–6 months (5.1%), before returning to a near‑baseline value at 12 months (3.8%), suggesting a distinct stimulation pattern in the individuals with higher occupational exposure. Macrophages decreased sharply after boosting (0.6%) and only partially recovered by 12 months (0.9%). T‑cell levels increased following the booster (46%), remained elevated at 6 months (46.2%), and gradually declined at 9–12 months (37.5%). The proportion of NK cells decreased from 9.3% at baseline to 5.2% at 3–9 months, with partial recovery at 12 months (6.5%). Classical monocytes remained stable (25.2% at baseline vs 24.8% postbooster and 27.8% at 12 months). Collectively, these results indicate that vaccine‑related cellular responses were most pronounced in T cells. In contrast, changes in innate cell subsets (DCs, NK cells, monocytes, and macrophages) were mild, transient, or absent over time.
In this prospective analysis of a large Polish cohort, we observed apparent differences in the magnitude of humoral responses across vaccine platforms, with higher IgG titers after mRNA vaccination (Moderna > Pfizer‑BioNTech) than after the adenoviral vector vaccine (Ad26.COV2.S; J&J), followed by antibody levels waning over time and their restoration after boosting. These findings align with the broader evidence that neutralizing / binding anti‑S IgG levels track with the extent of protection from symptomatic infection, and that declines in antibody titers over time are mirrored by waning vaccine effectiveness in real‑world settings.8
First, our between‑platform differences—stronger initial responses after mRNA vaccination and lower titers after Ad26.COV2.S—are consistent with comparative immunogenicity studies in diverse populations showing higher antibody concentrations after mRNA‑1273 than after BNT162b2, with both exceeding responses after Ad26.COV2.S.9 The waning pattern observed in our study by 6–12 months accords with large meta‑analyses documenting substantial reductions in vaccine effectiveness against symptomatic and Omicron‑era infection over several months after the primary series and, to a lesser degree, after boosters.3 Therefore, our data reinforce the current policy that boosters are essential to counteract predictable antibody decay.
Second, the booster effect was pronounced in both cohorts, including the health care workers, who were sampled approximately 9 months after primary vaccination. The heterologous strategy (primary vaccination with Ad26.COV2.S, followed by an mRNA boost) seen in parts of our population produced substantial humoral restoration, consistent with the findings of controlled trials and population studies showing that heterologous boosters are safe and highly immunogenic, often matching or exceeding homologous regimens.10 Notably, in our health care worker cohort, the longer interval between primary vaccination and booster administration was associated with lower prebooster titers but vigorous postbooster rises, a pattern that fits antibody decay kinetics and memory responses described in longitudinal studies and trials.4
Third, our cellular findings were modest overall, with limited or no durable changes across most non–B‑cell and non–T‑cell compartments (DCs, monocytes / macrophages, NK cells), and only moderate, time‑dependent fluctuations in T cells. This coherence with the literature is notable: while T‑cell responses are generally more stable than antibody titers and contribute to protection from severe disease, their quantitative shifts after vaccination / boosting are often smaller and less discriminative across platforms than humoral readouts—particularly when measured as broad phenotypic percentages rather than antigen‑specific functional assays. Our results, therefore, complement the global picture that humoral markers (especially neutralizing IgG) are the most sensitive correlates of protection against infection. In contrast, cellular immunity helps sustain protection against severe outcomes as antibody levels wane.8,11,12
From a public health perspective, these data support mRNA vaccines as the backbone of primary and booster programs and endorse heterologous boosting as a practical approach to enhance responses in recipients of vector‑based vaccines or in settings with constrained supply. Importantly, our findings dovetail with the correlate‑of‑protection framework, indicating that higher neutralizing / binding antibody titers predict a lower infection risk—useful when calibrating booster timing as new variants and updated formulations emerge.8,13,14
This study benefits from its prospective design, systematic sampling of 2 real‑world cohorts, vaccine platform–specific comparisons, and extended follow‑up into the booster period. However, several limitations should be noted. The observational, nonrandomized design may have introduced a selection bias, and sample sizes varied substantially across vaccine types and time points, with considerable attrition at 12–18 months, particularly in the Ad26.COV2.S subgroup, limiting later‑phase comparisons. AstraZeneca vaccine recipients were under‑represented, and cellular analyses relied on broad phenotypic profiling rather than antigen‑specific functional assays. Moreover, the evolving SARS‑CoV‑2 variant landscape during follow‑up may have influenced antibody levels and complicated cross‑time point comparisons.
In summary, this real‑world study from Poland shows that mRNA vaccines—particularly mRNA‑1273—induce higher initial humoral responses than Ad26.COV2.S, with marked antibody waning by 6–12 months and apparent restoration after boosting, including with heterologous schedules. Cellular changes were modest, supporting the concept that antibodies predominantly protect against infection, while cellular immunity underpins longer‑term protection from severe disease. These findings reinforce the value of booster vaccination and flexibility in vaccine platform selection.
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