Original articles

Prognostic value of neutrophil‑to‑lymphocyte ratio in predicting long-term mortality in patients with ischemic and nonischemic heart failure

Jarosław Wasilewski, Łukasz Pyka, Michał Hawranek, Tadeusz Osadnik, Anna Kurek, Michał Skrzypek, Jacek Niedziela, Piotr Desperak, Zofia Kułaczkowska, Małgorzata Brzezina, Michał Krawczyk, Mariusz Gąsior
Published online: March 18, 2016

INTRODUCTION    Previous studies have shown that an elevated neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) was associated with a poorer long-term prognosis in patients with heart failure (HF).
OBJECTIVES    We aimed to study the predictive value of the NLR in patients with left ventricular ejection fraction of 35% or lower. The second objective was to establish whether the NLR has the same prognostic value in patients with ischemic and nonischemic HF.
PATIENTS AND METHODS    The study group consisted of a cohort of patients with HF (1387 men, 347 women; median age, 61 years) from the prospective COMMIT-HF registry. The primary endpoint was all-cause mortality. Patients were divided into tertiles based on the NLR values on admission. The first (low), second (medium), and third (high) tertiles were defined as NLR ≤2.04 (n = 578), NLR 2.05–3.1 (n = 578) and NLR >3.1 (n = 578), respectively.
RESULTS    During long-term follow-up, 443 deaths were reported. The 12-month mortality in patients in the third NLR tertile was almost 3-fold higher compared with those in the first tertile (7.61% vs 20.07%; P <0.001). In a multivariate analysis, the NLR was an independent factor of mortality (hazard ratio [HR], 2.31; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.82–2.92; P <0.0001). In addition, the multivariate analysis revealed that the third NLR tertile in the ischemic HF group was an independent factor related to longterm mortality (HR, 1.51; 95% CI, 1.11–2.04; P = 0.008). In the nonischemic HF group, the influence of the NLR on long-term survival was not confirmed.
CONCLUSIONS    The association between the NLR and the risk of death in long-term follow-up was confirmed only in the subgroup of patients with ischemic HF.

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